Effect of baseline CD4 cell counts on the clinical significance of short-term immunologic response to antiretroviral therapy in individuals with virologic suppression

Academic Article


  • BACKGROUND:: Achieving virologic suppression is a clear therapeutic goal for patients receiving combination antiretroviral therapy (cART). However, the effects of immunologic responses, whether measured as CD4 count changes from baseline or CD4 counts at follow-up, in patients with virologic suppression, have not been clearly established. METHODS:: Treatment-naive individuals aged16 years, who initiated cART between 1998 and 2005 in participating cohorts of the ART Cohort Collaboration and achieved viral load ≤400 copies per milliliter 6 months after cART initiation, were included. We used Cox models to examine associations of CD4 change from baseline to 6 months, and absolute CD4 counts at 6 months, with subsequent rates of mortality and AIDS. Analyses were stratified by baseline CD4 count. RESULTS:: Among 23,679 eligible participants, the median increase in CD4 count at 6 months, and the implications of these increases for subsequent mortality and AIDS, varied with baseline CD4 count. Mortality hazard ratios for increases of 0-50 cells per microliter, compared with >100 cells per microliter, were 1.87 (95% confidence interval: 1.28 to 2.73), 1.60 (1.13 to 2.28), 0.98 (0.58 to 1.65) and 1.24 (0.70 to 2.18) in participants with baseline CD4 cell count <50, 50-199, 200-349 and 350 cells per microliter, respectively. In contrast, hazard ratios for mortality or AIDS associated with absolute CD4 cell counts at 6 months were similar across all but the highest baseline CD4 cell count strata. CONCLUSION:: It is not possible to derive thresholds for change in CD4 count that define an adequate immunologic response in individuals receiving cART. Absolute CD4 counts at 6 months are a more useful measure of immunologic response and subsequent prognosis. Copyright © 2009 by Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.
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    Author List

  • Moore DM; Harris R; Lima V; Hogg B; May M; Yip B; Justice A; Mocroft A; Reiss P; Lampe F
  • Start Page

  • 357
  • End Page

  • 363
  • Volume

  • 52
  • Issue

  • 3